The proclamation that "agile is dead" echoes periodically throughout the project management sphere. Yet, a deeper look reveals that this declaration is premature and lacks nuance. The adoption of agile methodologies, like any substantive change, is not instantaneous. It navigates a journey through a complex landscape, often encountering resistance and inertia.
Crossing the Chasm: The Adoption Curve
The path to widespread adoption often follows the pattern illustrated in Geoffrey Moore's seminal work, "Crossing the Chasm." Innovative products or methodologies initially attract early adopters, those enthusiastic about change. However, reaching the mainstream majority requires crossing a chasm, overcoming skepticism and the comfort of established practices. Agile is no exception.
The Perils of Traditional Approaches
Traditional project management approaches, particularly waterfall methodologies, have a history of struggling in complex environments. Large-scale projects often fall prey to cost overruns, missed deadlines, and a lack of flexibility to adapt to evolving requirements. These challenges highlight the need for more agile, iterative approaches.
Resistance to Change: A Human Factor
Humans, by nature, are creatures of habit. Embracing change, especially when it challenges established routines and power structures, can be uncomfortable. Managers, particularly those who perceive agility as threatening their control or job security, may resist adoption. This resistance can hinder the spread of agile practices within organizations.
Deming's 14 Points and Long-Term Perspective
W. Edwards Deming's 14 points for management provide a framework for organizational transformation. His success in revitalizing Japanese industries after World War II demonstrates the power of adopting a holistic, process-oriented approach—an approach that aligns well with the agile mindset.
Deming emphasized the importance of long-term thinking, continuous improvement, and creating a culture of collaboration and learning. These principles are essential for successful agile implementation.
Conclusion
Agile is not dead. It is navigating the natural adoption curve, encountering challenges and resistance along the way. However, the benefits of agility—increased adaptability, improved customer satisfaction, and enhanced project outcomes—are undeniable.
Organizations that embrace an agile mindset, foster a culture of continuous improvement, and invest in long-term transformation are more likely to thrive in today's dynamic business environment. Agile is not a quick fix, but a journey towards sustainable success.
References:
Crossing the Chasm Geoffrey Moore
Get the book or read Wikipedia
Demings Profound Knowledge
Demings 14 points
I agree. I think that all things "Agile" are experiencing late-majority adoption. Interesting times.